Active Cases in NCR Projected to Reach 30,000 Despite ECQ

The Philippine government has once again placed Metro Manila under enhanced community quarantine (ECQ) from August 6 to 20. This is after the Delta coronavirus variant had posed a threat to the citizens.

Despite another lockdown, the National Capital Region (NCR) may still see a huge increase in the number of active cases by September 30. Active cases pertain to those who tested positive for COVID-19 and have yet to recover.

This was announced by the Department of Health (DOH) at a recent public briefing. “It was seen that there will be an increase of 18,000 to 30,000 even [if NCR is] under ECQ,” said DOH Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire.

The numbers are reportedly initial projections of FASSTER and Autumn, the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Diseases (IATF)’s data analytic groups. Vergeire added, “These are the modelers that have been helping us in providing forecasts and they gave us forecasts using different scenarios.”

She also called for strict implementation of the minimum public health standards as the Delta variant is highly transmissible compared to other variants. The undersecretary explained, “A person who is infected with Delta variant has a viral load of around 1,000 compared to other variants of concern. They can easily infect others.”

Based on the official website of DOH, there were already 12,108 active cases in NCR and 61,920 in the entire country as of July 30.

What are your thoughts on this? Tell us in the comments.

Do you have a story for the Team? Email us at or send us a direct message at Facebook Page. Interact with the team and join the Community at WIM Squad! Get the latest news about the Philippine Entertainment industry and join the WIM Showbiz Facebook group! We also share our stories on Viber, join us!